TheOtherDave comments on The Substitution Principle - Less Wrong

68 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 28 January 2012 04:20AM

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Comment author: TheOtherDave 26 January 2012 03:37:33PM 0 points [-]

That's fair, as long as my confidence in that prediction is correspondingly low.
The problem arises when I treat current popularity as predicted value of future popularity with high confidence.