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TimS comments on Terminal Bias - Less Wrong
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It seems like it depends on whether or not we can easily distinguish between "irrational" crime and calculated defections. In the current world, we can't, so there are game-theoretic reasons to justify similar treatment. But if we could relatively reliably differentiate, it seems like a large waste of resources avoid a cheap treatment that reduces the risk of future irrational crime to negligible levels. And I suspect that's true even if our test was only 75% accurate at telling the difference between "irrational" criminals and calculated defections.
That's an interesting impression to have. Not that I know any better, but I'm doubtful of the reliability of any data because it is irrelevant to the US legal system (except for insanity type defenses, and mitigation in death penalty litigation).
Yep. But I don't see significant reason to expect detection systems to outpace tricking systems.
25 to 87% of inmates report suffering a head injury, compared to 8.5% of the general population. The high variation in reports suggests that the data isn't the best quality / most general, but with the most conservative estimate prevalence is at three times higher.