"Stuck In The Middle With Bruce"

[-]jimrandomh17y330

I'm going to take a stab at explaining/translating some of the examples from that article. The first is about "mana screw". In Magic: the Gathering, each player has a deck of 60 cards, of which about 2/5 are "land" or "mana", and the rest of which are "spells". Each turn, players draw one new card, put down one land card if they have it, and play spells whose total cost is less than or equal to the number of lands they have. Costs are typically distributed in a bell curve centered at about 3.5. If a player has too few lands relative to the cost of his spells, he can't play them; this is called "mana screw". If he has too many lands, he won't have spells to play with them; this is called "mana flood". Lands and spells also have color; to play a spell, some number of the lands used must be the correct color or colors.

At the start of the game, each player draws 7 cards, looks at them, and decides to either keep them or mulligan, which means he puts them back, reshuffles, and draws a new hand with only 6 cards. (If the 6 card hand is also bad, he can do it again, getting one less card each time.) If the initial 7 cards are wor... (read more)

[-]CronoDAS17y150

Note: playing your own deck, as opposed to netdecking, is called "going rogue" and an original, unexpected deck is a "rogue" deck.

The advantage to going rogue is that your opponent will not be prepared to play against your strategy. As a result, he will be more likely to make mistakes when playing against you, and his deck will not be optimized for beating yours. (Plus, as designing an effective deck that hasn't been discovered already is extremely difficult, winning with a rogue deck is very impressive.) The downside is that rogue decks tend to be weaker than netdecks, because, well, you and your friends aren't smarter than the entire rest of the Magic playing world.

[-]thomblake17y170

That's funny. I haven't played Magic seriously since pre-Google, and not building one's own deck from scratch was commonly known as 'cheating'.

ETA: this is because deck construction was considered most of the game, so playing someone else's deck is like having a more experienced player play the game for you

6Emile17y

Same here - there might have been a few people around playing decks from the web or magazines, but they were a minority and not very highly considered. But then I never took part in competitions, and don't know anybody who did, that probably explains.

0CronoDAS17y

That's something I've never heard, oddly enough.

2chesh17y

I started playing very early (around Legends) and quit around Ice Age; this was the standard belief at that time too. Of course, we didn't really have the internet anyway. Winning decks occasionally got published in magazines, but the resources simply weren't there for netdecking to be an issue. I suspect as it became easier and easier it moved from taboo to the norm. When I initially played, I never would have thought of buying a premade deck; now I can pick up any of the ones that are sold and have a fun game with them, without any of the commitment that caused me to quit, and the deck will be better than one I could make myself.

6CronoDAS17y

There's one thing in the article that even I had to use some Google-fu on, although it's not really significant. "The Ron" is Theron Martin, who was suspended for five years for cheating - his DCI rating had been artificially inflated because someone had been sending the DCI bogus tournament results in which he won games that never happened. Theron Martin claimed that he was innocent because he didn't know it was happening.

[-][anonymous]15y290

I don't know how "Bruce-like" I am in issues of personal goals and so on -- probably about average. But I have a freakishly bad case of the Bruce when it comes to competitive games.

I don't win games. Ever. I played Catan every week for a whole summer -- never won. I haven't won a poker game since I was seven. You don't want to know what happens if I try Mario Kart. I used to go bowling a lot -- I never, ever won. I run slower in a race than when I time myself on my own. Come to think of it, I don't believe I've ever won an argument.

The variety of games I suck at is too broad for it to be a simple matter of lacking a skill: I lose at competitions of strategy, probability, hand-eye coordination, and fitness. No. I have some kind of hang-up against winning. I've won "competitions" that involve taking a test or mailing in an application, but I just can't win if I can see my opponent face-to-face. On some level, I really don't want to.

It's got to be psychological. I suppose the cure would be to find a "game" of something that I actually am skilled at, and defeat someone face to face. The weird thing is, that sounds terrifying. Unlike MOR:Harry, I know how to lose; I don't know how to win.

5Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg)14y

Interesting. I used to have a similar thing going on with competitive swimming. Don't get me wrong, I wanted to impress my parents, I wanted my coach to be proud, I wanted to earn my place at the team...but when it came to actually standing on a block beside seven other swimmers, the pressure would build until something snapped. I don't think I ever really believed I could win, and thanks to my body type I rarely did. (I seem to almost completely lack fast-twitch muscle fibers; I once swam 17 km straight, at age 14, and I don't think anyone else on the team could have done that, but even much slower swimmers would beat me easily in a sprint.)

[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky17y18-1

In another thread, PJEby wrote:

So, as of now, I'd say that story was one of the top 5 most valuable things I've gotten from LW.

Seconded.

[-]Hul-Gil14y141

I'm curious to know what you and PJEby got out of it. I didn't get anything, except "don't sabotage yourself" and "think your decisions through" - not really anything groundbreaking.

9NancyLebovitz14y

What's distinctive about it is that it makes certain kinds of self-sabotage vivid rather than just offering an abstraction.

6Viliam_Bur14y

Technically, I agree it was "don't sabotage yourself". (EDIT: For a non-player of MtG.) But writing "don't sabotage yourself" just wouldn't have the same impact. I care about the impact. I would rather spend my time reading one article that makes an impact, than hundreds of articles that don't -- even if they contain more information (that I will quickly forget). I am just a human, and I need to take it into account when optimizing for myself.

[-]zslastman13y170

There's one example of the Bruce Effect that immediately jumps at me because it

a)Has been incredibly active in my life

b)Squares so well with the adaptionist explanation of the Bruce Effect

My chief form of self sabotage has always been with the opposite sex. Someone will hit on me, or my own advances will begin to go somewhere, and I'll do something to bring things to a halt. On present reflection it feels very much like I'm afraid of the challenges that would follow - that flirting with someone I find really attractive feels like embarking on some terrifying balancing act, and the failure is a return to the natural order of things - reassuring and predictable. The kind of thinking that might lead someone to avoid seeking higher status within a peer group which he didn't feel capable of maintaining.

[-]Aleksei_Riikonen17y120

Damn, it appears I haven't read the off-topic thread where Magic players were sought after.

So let me state here that Magic was my number one passion between ages 14-20 or so. I sold my collection (including the Power Nine and other goodies) in order to donate to SIAI, though.

(Haven't regretted it, even though Magic is such a hugely fun game.)

[-]PhilGoetz17y110

I hated Magic, because it took over the roleplaying community and replaced a lot of good games; and I was excluded from it because I couldn't afford it.

0jackk10y

Not a M:TG player (any more) but I am fairly keen on Android:Netrunner, a reprint of one of Richard Garfield's other designs.

0mitechka17y

Yes, I played magic a lot some years back.

0Emile17y

Same here, so it seems there are more Magic players here than CronoDAS thought. (I don't think there is any causal relationship between "plays magic" and "is interested in rationality", it's just that both correlate with "is a geek")

[-]pjeby17y60

Interesting connection here with "Breakdown of Will" (which I finally received and read yesterday): Ainslie hypothesizes (rather convincingly) that pain and negative emotion are also associated with a burst of "reward" -- i.e. attention and interest. This might be where "Bruce" comes from... not to mention other forms of drama addiction.

(I'm tempted to link to this article from my blog as well, but the jargon really does make it a tough read. Maybe I'll wait until it can supplement a more substantive Bruce-related post of my own.)

6Emile17y

I also read about some similar research on video games: when hooking machines to the brains of people playing Super Monkey Ball, they found that the biggest burst of reward was when the players died. They explained this by saying that that's when the most learning occurs. I notice that myself when playing some games - "awesome, I just died ! I have to start over". For some games, Losing is fun.

[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky17y120

I... honestly feel like I have no clue at all what this emotion feels like. I wonder if my brain would actually show that burst of reward.

I read the article and thought, "Hm, I have an inner name-of-loser-relative", which was a very frightening thought; but I didn't parse that in terms of enjoyment, that seemed to me like needless psychoanalysis. It was just a loser side with bad habits, probably formed mostly by hyperbolic discounting or poor impulse control. And it occurred to me that I should give this side a name and separate it out from my real me.

Now I'm wondering if the part about "enjoyment" wasn't mere psychoanalysis but something I either unusually lack, or which is unusually obscured from my sight. I know there are men who get sexual pleasure out of being kicked in the balls but I don't really know what goes on in their minds. I'm trying not to sound boastful here, but losing, generally speaking, hurts like a bastard. I can imagine other minds in which a little flash of malicious enjoyment or self-flagellation or something is tacked on, but I have no idea if that imagination is the right one.

[-]pjeby17y290

Now I'm wondering if the part about "enjoyment" wasn't mere psychoanalysis but something I either unusually lack, or which is unusually obscured from my sight.

Enjoyment isn't the right word, I don't think. My wife and I both described the "Bruce effect" sensation as being more like a sense of recognition or rightness -- like confirmation of something that you expected, something that's just the way the world works. That, upon successfully losing, it's like, "yep, this is where I'm supposed to be". Not enjoyment... more like satisfaction... though that's still too strong. Closure, maybe? Relief? It's a brief and subtle reward, not a conscious pleasure.

It was just a loser side with bad habits, probably formed mostly by hyperbolic discounting or poor impulse control.

Anosognosia. Don't speculate, investigate -- observe the automatic thoughts in action, rather than adding voluntary thoughts on top of them.

And it occurred to me that I should give this side a name and separate it out from my real me.

Be careful of how you do that... dispassionate separation is okay, rejection is not. When people actively reject parts of themselves ("... (read more)

[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky17y100

Enjoyment isn't the right word, I don't think. My wife and I both described the "Bruce effect" sensation as being more like a sense of recognition or rightness -- like confirmation of something that you expected, something that's just the way the world works.

Okay... I understand that, but only because of my struggles with my diet.

7pjeby17y

Now you've got me curious: where have you experienced that in relation to diet?

[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky17y140

That when it fails, it feels like the thing that was supposed to happen has happened.

-1[anonymous]15y

I recall you were trying paleo/primal at one point. What failed? Didn't/couldn't stick to it? Or even with eating completely paleo, you failed to lose weight and don't know why? Did you keep a food log and/or track calories? Any intermittent fasting experimentation? Are you currently trying anything in particular?

0patrissimo17y

Heh. Reminds me of Big Mind Technique a little bit. Acknowledging and integrating all your voices, including the self-destructive ones.

0pjeby17y

Techniques for working on brains are similar because brains are similar. ;-) Do you have anything you can point me to that's a brief introduction, though? I'm always curious about new techniques. There are a lot of techniques that involve integration of multiple points of view, both in NLP and other branches of psychology, so it wouldn't surprise me to find more of them that I haven't heard of.

1patrissimo16y

http://www.bigmind.org/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Mind My wife (who is a life coach) has been to a couple of seminars and liked it. As wikipedia says, it evolved out of the "Voice Dialogue method created by Hal Stone and Sidra Stone". BTW, your work is very interesting and I look forward to your upcoming book.

7loqi17y

Personally, I've only really noticed this reaction in myself in an academic setting with moving goalposts. If I'm putting effort into something I find at least mildly stressful, and success is "rewarded" with heightened expectations and further obligations, I develop a desire to prove that I'm capable of melting down and failing. The hypothetical satisfaction derives more from the thought of specific individuals observing my failure than from the failure itself. Perhaps you've haven't optimized much against pathological incentives?

6Emile17y

I don't think the "reward feeling" for losing at a video game is the same thing as what our "Inner Bruce" goes after. They may be related, I don't know. But losing as a video game can be fun, more than losing in real life. Fun in the same way the rest of the game is fun, it's not a special kind of fun. I get that a lot in Spelunky, where you often make a small mistake and splat blood flies and you have to start over again. but it can be fun. That's an important distinction between hardcore and casual games. Some players don't mind getting killed horribly and having to start over again - it's what they expect. But other players will be discouraged and feel bad if the game tells them that they suck. That's why most casual games are very nice to the player, and often you just can't lose at all. A decade or two ago, the game industry was mostly focused on hardcore players; recently they have found out you can make a lot of money with casual games (targetting "middle aged women"), but you have to make the games differently. Maybe it's because hardcore players expect to die over and over in video games, and they know viscerally that it doesn't matter at all, so when they lose, they don't have any negative associations. On the other hand, new players haven't made that dissociation, and feel bad about losing. I never thought much about the relationship between "self-sabotaging to lose in real life" and "enjoying losing in video games", it's interesting ...

3JulianMorrison17y

I propose a good word to use instead of enjoyment would be "drama" or "intensity". If losing has become a personal narrative, an instance of losing feels like a turning-point in the plot.

2patrissimo17y

Most poker players, even the losing ones, don't like losing, but I think it is sometimes a driver for losing players continuing to play. Sometimes it is self-hatred (vindicating the feeling that you don't deserve to win). Sometimes it is the desire to whine - to have something bad happen to you that can plausibly be blamed on someone else. Actually, from what I have read, feeling like one doesn't deserve to succeed, and self-sabotaging, and feeling some kind of sick satisfaction when one fails, is pretty common.

1FiftyTwo14y

Interestingly I have the opposite response. I genuinely don't understand how some people get so much pleasure from the act of winning, to the extent they will cheat or subvert the game (or in the longer term memorise moves by rote). Generally I enjoy the process of playing the game and will be annoyed at myself if I make particular mistakes that cause me to lose, but if I play to the best of my ability, enjoy it and my opponent simply plays better I wouldn't be upset. [Standard disclaimer about difficulty of self reporting internal states and the possibility of rationalisation applies, its possible I have a strong self image as someone uninterested in winning.]

8thomblake17y

It should be noted that death is funny and pretty in Super Monkey Ball.

1CronoDAS17y

I'm definitely a gaming masochist - I often like extremely difficult games the most, as long as the deaths seem fair. Having played games most of my life, I've gotten quite good at them and frequently get bored when a game is too easy. Kill me more, please! ;)

4SoullessAutomaton17y

Have you ascended in Nethack?

5CronoDAS16y

Yes.

3lix17y

I am curious about how you see Bruce. It seems to me that avoiding fear is one of the major motivators of humans and animals. Winning is scary because it creates the expectation that you will continue to win - and therefore the fear you won't. And that fear is justified. In this highly-connected and competitive world, it's virtually impossible to be the best in any endeavor. Therefore, winning just delays and worsens your ultimate failure. Since you are ultimately going to lose anyway, you would often be better off learning how to be content with losing rather than striving to win at all. In this sense, Bruce is your true friend. Of course, this only applies when you are playing competitive games. When your definition of winning is something like growing a beautiful garden or stopping children dying of diarrhoea, Bruce is your enemy. Personally, I feel I get along better with the inconsistent parts of myself when I acknowledge that they have reasons for existing. So I don't hang up on Bruce... I ask him why he wants to lose in each case, and sometimes I decide that he is right. But this may just be a feature of my own psychology.

1FiftyTwo14y

Looking back at my own game playing experience I would often do a move I considered "interesting" or fun rather than playing conservatively or thinking through the consequences of the action. This may be because I have never particularly valued "winning" in and of itself, games are a form of entertainment, so I optimise my play for that not winning. Or that could just be me rationalising.... Would be interesting to see if that habt generalises into things I genuinely value the results of.

[-]John-Henry16y50

It's possible that naming the part of us that makes us lose is oversimplifying the problem. We can consciously come up with rationalizations for why achieving one result counts as a "win" and another result as a "loss". But clean win/lose states don't exist in real life, which is much more messy. Instead winning and losing is achieving different results.

Is it possible that Bruce is just playing a different game, rather than solely attempting to make "me" lose my game? Bruce may actually be the person who wants things that we c... (read more)

[-]Viliam_Bur14y110

You made me think: Is there some possible evolutionary advantage of having a Bruce? Or more precisely, is there an instinct that would do something useful 100000 years ago, which makes us self-sabotage today?

Perhaps there is an instinct "not to appear much more successful than the rest of your tribe". Because there is a competition inside your tribe. Success is good, but it also brings enemies, any you may not be ready to face them. So unless you are ready to fight them all and become a leader of your tribe, it is better to sabotage yourself sometimes.

This instinct was fine-tuned to an ancient environment, and is not so necessary today (unless there is a Khmer Rouge revolution around the corner). But if you are smarter that the average, sometimes the instinct may kick in after an unconscious decision that you are already "dangerously successful".

More precisely, the instinct is somehow valid today too (success still brings you enemies), but it sometimes mistakenly assigns too much danger to relatively small success. Maybe it is related to the size and degree of specialization in our "tribe" -- in ancient world, when you were in top 1% at something, you were probably the best in your tribe; nowadays just studying something or doing some sport or game easily puts in top 1% of population with regard to that specific thing.

5LeoHolman7y

I had this idea too. I think Bruce is an agent of social order. He causes us to lose to keep us on good terms with those around us. I think he applies on a level even shallower than "I'm afraid if I enter the top 1% of success, my competition will be far too strong.", rather Bruce is eyeballing the situation and thinking. "If I win I get positive X1 and negative Y1, if I give up I get positive X2 and negative Y2, if I lose while seemingly trying to win I get positive X3 and negative Y3." And deems the combination X3 and Y3 to be the most favorable of all of them.

[-]timtyler17y50

Sorry, but Rizzo's writing style is absolutely awful, and the content is no better.

2Hul-Gil14y

Agreed.

[-]swestrup17y40

I have a Magic deck, but I don't often play. That's because Magic is not only an interesting game, its been carefully designed to continually suck more money out of your pocket.

Ever since it was first introduced (I happen to own a first generation deck) the game has been slowly increasing the power levels of the cards so that older cards are less and less valuable and one needs to buy ever more newer cards just to stay competitive.

Add to this the fact they regularly bring out new types of cards that radically shift the power balances in the game and one f... (read more)

4thomblake17y

The game was actually designed without the 'collectable' element, which emerged naturally from the design process since everybody always wanted access to more/newer cards as they played. See any of the various histories regarding Richard Garfield's original concept and playtesting. Arguably, the focus on sucking money out of your pocket came about the time the cards began to develop aftermarket values, it became widely popular, and events like sanctioned tournaments and the 'pro tour' began ('94-'96)

0swestrup17y

I find it 'interesting' that we've both had our posts voted down to zero. Could it be that someone objects to pointing out that the game is a money sink and therefore one might have perfectly rational reasons to avoid it?

2Z_M_Davis17y

Posts now start at zero, with self-voting no longer allowed.

0swestrup17y

Ah, interesting. That was not considered important enough to get into the RSS feed, so I never saw it.

0MrHen17y

In addition to what Z M Davis said, I voted both of your posts down because I felt they added nothing useful to the discussion. Thomblake's was just information responding to yours, so I left it alone. This comment isn't meant as arrogant or aggressive, just an explanation since it seems you've asked for one. To directly answer your question: I do not object to the comment, but I think it is less valuable than other comments. Hope that helps.

5swestrup17y

That, of course, is your opinion and you're welcome to it. But I thought that I was (perhaps too verbosely to be clear) pointing out that this the original article was yet-another post on Less Wrong that seemed to be saying. "Do X. Its the rational thing to do. If you don't do X, you aren't rational." I was trying to point out that there may be many rational reasons for not doing X.

0[anonymous]17y

Karma now starts at zero. (Or were both these posts once at 1?)

[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky17y40

I removed the "Recommended Reading" part from the title; I feel this can be implied and I'd hate to see lots of "Recommended Reading" every time something was linked. Hope that's okay, if not you can always edit back.

2CronoDAS17y

Fine with me.

[-]Alicorn17y30

Arguably, card games in general can be a good tool for learning rationality. I knew that there was no point to dwelling on inaccessible options before I learned cassino, but when I learned cassino, I got to see the good ten sitting on the table and a distinct lack of tens in my hand and really understand that there would be no ten of diamonds for me this time and I should focus on the spades or something.

[-]SeanMCoincon10y20

@CronoDAS - I used to play a very long time ago, but attempting to keep up with the expansions became too expensive, so I let the hobby lapse. This decision was made when Ice Age came out, so... there's your timeline. However, I did manage to acquire the old 2004 "Shandalar" PC version, which has been delightful both tactically and strategically (the overland game - defeating NPCs and ganking their cards - may be even more enjoyable to me than the card game itself). While I haven't tried the more recent multiplayer video game version, I'd definitely be amenable. So let me know. I can be reached at DarianSentient@gmail.com if you prefer, or if anyone else reading this would like to reach out, as well.

[-]Matt_Simpson17y20

I play magic. Well, at least I used to. Never competitively though, at least not in meatspace (or magic online, apprentice ftw). And I agree - there's a great connection to rationality. One problem with the game though: to truly enjoy it's dynamic nature, which is one of the great things that sets it apart from other games, it takes a significant continuous financial investment in new sets. It's the reason I never played competitively.

I'd wager that there's at least one other mtg player here. How many people are named Zvi?

There's a set of 3 (I think)... (read more)

2BethMo14y

Don't know how many M:TG players are still around, since I'm replying to a two-year-old post, but I found this thread very interesting. I used to play Magic (a little) and write about Magic (a lot), and I was the head M:TG rules guru for a while. The M:TG community is certainly a lovely place to see a wide variety of rationality and irrationality at work. For seriously competitive players, the game itself provides a strong payoff for being able to rapidly calculate probabilities and update them as new information becomes available.

0CronoDAS17y

Agreed, a big problem with Magic is that it's really, really expensive to play when compared to other types of games. It's not as bad as golf, but staying current can cost over a thousand dollars each year. I'd be really impressed if we managed to attract THE Zvi to our little community blog. So, are you THE Zvi?

0Matt_Simpson17y

Playing on apprentice or magic workstation are interesting solutions, but there's nothing like having actual cardboard in front of your face for keeping you motivated. Same goes for paper vs. digital books. Well, these both apply at least for me.

0CronoDAS17y

I used to play on Apprentice a whole lot; there were some popular IRC leagues whose weekly scheduled tournaments would routinely attract over one hundred players. Unfortunately, Apprentice proved incompatible with some newly released cards and there were various programs, most notably Backwash, that allowed players to cheat. After the release of Magic Online, the best players migrated there, and the IRC leagues became much less popular. I used to play on Magic Online until I gave it up as too expensive.

0Matt_Simpson17y

I frequented e-leauge for a while, forgot the irc channel it was in. I didn't know apprentice had those issues. Magic Workstation is much more aesthetically pleasing and user friendly, but I don't know if it's robust against cheating and quirky cards

0CronoDAS17y

AFAIK, Workstation hasn't been cracked yet, and the specific cards that were incompatible with Apprentice (the Wish cycle from the Judgment set) work in Magic Workstation.

[-]Elias4y10

This sounds like a case of "wrong" perspective. (Whoa, what?! Yes, keep reading pls^^)

Like someone believing (to believe) in Nihilism. To Nihilism, I haven't thought of a good and correct counter-statement, except:

"You are simply wrong on all accounts, but by such a small amount that it's hard to point to, because it will sound like »You don't have a right to your own perspective«", (Of course, I also would not agree with disallowing personal opinions (as long as we ARE talking about opinions, not facts).)

Granted, I haven't tried to have that kind of discu... (read more)

[-]EniScien4y10

Finally i go to other site and read this long text. But i'm not sure about what it says. That you need to look not at step that divide you from win, but at steps that move and move you to lose? Or about when you know that it is wrong variant, but find who was cause of your lose, think how unhappen you are, and don't stop you wrong actions. When you want to win, but make and make obstacles in your path by your own hands.

[-]Straw Vulcan5y10

The link is broken, but I found the article elsewhere on starcitygames.com: https://articles.starcitygames.com/premium/stuck-in-the-middle-with-bruce/

2jimrandomh5y

Thanks; I have fixed the link.

[-]zulupineapple6y10

The link is broken. I was only able to find the article here, with the wayback machine.

[-]taw14y10

I think you're overstating how rational Magic is. Maybe it was 10 years ago before Internet came along and changed everything, but these days everybody netdecks, brute force optimization of decks by playing a lot (online or not) beats any creativity, and number of viable deck types in a typical format got extremely limited (before JTMS/SFM ban, there was exactly 1 viable deck type in Standard, with everybody playing some variant thereof or losing).

The good old days of rogue decks stealing tournament wins are long gone. Feedback got way too fast for that.

Mu... (read more)

1lasagna13y

There's a lot more to magic than just the deckbuilding part. Personal skill in piloting a deck is extremely important.

[-]stcredzero14y10

The next time you lose a match you feel you should have won, or just lose any match, ask yourself if perhaps instead of thinking the entire combat math through you just said"screw it" and ran all your dudes in.

I am reminded of Robert E. Lee's uncharacteristic frontal assault at Gettysburg. I keep thinking that the pressure got to him, and he just convinced himself, "Screw it. My men can do anything!"

It would seem that Vince Lombardi is the Anti-Bruce.

I wonder if the underlying mechanism is something evolved for the regulation o... (read more)

1CronoDAS13y

Robin Hanson has asked the same question.

0FeepingCreature14y

Is there a name for the bias that makes us turn to explanations in order of popularity/awareness/excitement instead of actual likelihood? In my opinion, this is almost certainly not the reason for either. [edit] Wow. Belatedest answer ever. :D Sorry for the alert.

0stcredzero13y

It's not popularity that drove my thought. It was a bit of introspection. I have an idea that something in me is trying to be a flop when this happens to me.

[-]Annoyance17y10

Winning matches isn't necessarily the reason people take up card games like Magic: The Gathering.

It's not that difficult to imagine someone holding a purpose for playing that's at cross-purposes to building a more 'effective' deck. As a sort of trivial example, consider a person who has the resources available to exploit an infinite-power-loop that was unintentionally created when cards from the latest edition are combined with old cards from several editions back... and refuses to use that combination on the grounds that it makes the game less fun to play.

3jimrandomh17y

MtG includes many infinite-power-loops, and by design. It also includes highly general defenses to prevent your opponents from setting them up. In fact, MtG theorists often treat decks as falling into a rock-paper-scissors structure, with combo decks being paper, control decks being scissors, and aggressive decks being rock.

0thomblake17y

I agree, but I think the article was talking primarily about competitive play. It made references to past celebrities in the world tournaments and pro tour.

1MrHen17y

To possibly clarify, you cannot do what Annoyance suggests in most competitive play and, if you can, people do.

0Annoyance17y

Certainly, but I can think of lots of reasons why people would participate in such play without necessarily trying as hard as they can to win. Needing to lose, and lose big, is probably why some people lose big, but I am skeptical that there's an actual need for major failure in most people for most actions.

[-]John_Maxwell17y10

Slightly off topic, but I doubt Magic is especially good for teaching rationality compared to other board games. There are a lot of games besides Magic and Poker that are about decision-making under uncertainty, although most aren't nearly as popular. One way to measure ones progress in rationality might be to play a wide variety of these games and keep track of one's win/loss record.

5loqi17y

One thing that sets Magic apart from Poker and most board games is that it evolves as new card sets are released and older ones retired. In other words, there are static and dynamic components to the game, and accounting for the changes in the dynamic components means carefully "letting go" of some previously learned lessons while trying to preserve and improve your more general knowledge of the game. In a way, your suggestion to play a variety of games is already encapsulated in Magic, with the distinction of maintaining a very complex set of static rules in the background.

2patrissimo17y

The key thing about poker is not just decision-making under uncertainty, but that money is at stake and you are competing against other people. Together, (plus some other characteristics) this makes it particularly good at evoking irrationality.

1Technologos17y

Perhaps true, but I agree with CronoDAS that a key strength of Magic is that your uncertainty isn't just statistical in the sense of "which cards am I going to get" but structural, in the sense of "can I understand the rules in a way that other people haven't thought of in order to get an advantage." I once was in a small Magic tournament where I came in the top 4 almost entirely on the basis of my knowledge of the rules; I had far fewer cards to choose from than some of the other players, so I should otherwise have been at a substantial disadvantage.

0Nominull17y

Magic is the Hardest Game Ever, which on the one hand suggests that it contains a lot of angles for one to apply rationality and gain an advantage, but on the other hand suggests that the advantages of rationality may be drowned out by the effect of raw brains and the ability to systematize.

2Matt_Simpson17y

The thing about magic which sets it apart in terms of rationality training is that you can't go at it with theory alone. It takes hours of experimentation to get your deck built right, testing a variety of maindeck and sideboard permutations until you find one which is optimal against the current metagame**. As soon as the metagame changes, it's back to testing. Since magic is never "solved," at least not permanently, it forces you to become good at coming up with guesses and testing them, at least within this specific domain. terms for the bewildered: *maindeck and sideboard: your deck consists of at least 60 cards in the maindeck and exactly 15 in the sideboard. During a match (at least 3 games, sometimes 5) after the first and second games, you can trade cards from your maindeck for cards in your sideboard. **metagame: the game outside the game, in other words, the different decks you are likely to face. In any given format, there are usually a handful of strong decks which dominate the field in some variation or another. As such, you end up playing against them more often then other decks.

1loqi17y

If this is true, I'd be skeptical of it faring much better elsewhere.

[-]CronoDAS17y10

If three different commenters ask me to do it, I'll go to the trouble of translating it into English. Anyone interested?

5Eliezer Yudkowsky17y

I strongly suspect that people who can't read Magic can read this.

4jimrandomh17y

I've beaten you to it, and added some of my own analysis as well. Feel free to add anything I may have left out, or which may need clarification.

2smoofra17y

I'd read it.

1JulianMorrison17y

I've never so much as seen a game of Magic, so the terms were all gensyms, but I could follow along. However, I'm curious now about the translation.

0CronoDAS17y

After looking over the article a few more times, it's actually not as bad as I feared it might be. Rizzo manages to get his point across, even through the language barrier.

[-][anonymous]13y00

I remember liking the Bruce article when I first saw it linked here. I wish I remember why.

You sabotage yourself because you know that you shouldn't be allowed to succeed. You've heard"no!" since birth and had it confirmed throughout your entire life.

That's the author's thesis. Your persistent problems, he says, are due to a facet of your mind that wants to lose and suffer persistently; not to suffer for exhilaration, like a man who enjoys the occasional nipple clamp, but to suffer as penance to the cosmos for being a wretched, worthless pers... (read more)

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[-]MrCheeze14y00

Hmm, didn't really get anything out of this. Maybe you need to be able to be competent at stuff in the first place to sabotage yourself?

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[-]michinsarang17y00

I agree card games can be a decent training mechanism, but I think the efficacy increases with the games complexity. I played MTG in my youth and a number of other card games like L5R. In actuality I think MTG is one of the least complex card games in the market, lending to its wide popularity. Certainly it could be argued to be more complex in some ways then poker, but less then other games. At some point complexity makes a game overly convoluted or turns off more casual players if it reduces the ability for an average person to understand its basic facet... (read more)

2Eliezer Yudkowsky17y

Which card game thus far encountered is the best rationality training mechanism, in your opinion?

8steven046117y

I don't think "card games" are a natural kind -- consider that in poker, the only thing that cards actually do, is provide a mechanism to incrementally give players private and public information on the binary variable of whether or not they get whatever ends up in the pot.

2MendelSchmiedekamp17y

Well, we do call Call of Cthulhu the thinking man's CCG (even though it's no longer collectable). The resourcing decisions, the combat math, and the overall slower pacing, now that some of the "quick" combos are gone, are all positive qualities. While the decisions are more textured than in magic - and in play decisions are at least as critical as deck design decisions, it's not too difficult to trace back out where important decisions occurred. Although sometimes it's "I shouldn't have resourced that support destruction card when my odds of drawing another one were too low." Which then teaches you to evaluate your decision within the local information you have available. All in all a decent help, I'd say. I am of course biased. I play the game weekly with the 2007 world champ. Which will be happening in about an hour, actually...

2Lawliet17y

Echoing this, but dont limit your reply to solely card-games, if you have anything else to add.

LESSWRONG
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LESSWRONG
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"Stuck In The Middle With Bruce"

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