= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
James_Miller comments on Rationality Quotes February 2012 - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (401)
True, but you should first assign appropriate weights to the two categories you mention based on the expected cost of having an incorrect belief.
This seems obviously correct, but at the same time it seems at odds with the virtue of evenness.
No, the weight factors into an expected utility calculation, it's separate from the probability calculation. Miller didn't say otherwise.
BTW, the opening three comments of this thread would make a great introduction to what the LW website is all about.
Aha. The original claim was that one should believe them, so I thought the weights were supposed to bear upon that question.
In that case, which expected utility calculation are you referring to? Or are you claiming that believing a proposition is more than a matter of the probability calculation?
At a minimum, you could include estimates of the ability to carry out the threat in your calculations.