arundelo comments on Rationality Quotes February 2012 - Less Wrong

5 [deleted] 01 February 2012 09:03PM

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Comment author: arundelo 01 February 2012 09:46:04PM 29 points [-]

Robert Morris has a very unusual quality: he's never wrong. It might seem this would require you to be omniscient, but actually it's surprisingly easy. Don't say anything unless you're fairly sure of it. If you're not omniscient, you just don't end up saying much.

[....] He's not just generally correct, but also correct about how correct he is.

-- Paul Graham

Comment author: thomblake 02 February 2012 05:43:26PM 7 points [-]

Being well-calibrated is great, but it sounds like rtm isn't even wrong in retrospect. I much prefer to say wrong things very loudly so that I will discover when I am in error.

Comment author: khafra 02 February 2012 02:38:57PM 1 point [-]

Calibration is awesome. However, note that without an audience like the NSA or Paul Graham, this is probably sub-optimal signaling.

Comment author: gwern 02 February 2012 04:31:50PM 11 points [-]

I have to say, I haven't found calibration hugely useful. It's certainly nice, but for the most part people ignore you.

Comment author: David_Gerard 02 February 2012 09:31:39PM 2 points [-]

Does it give you better answers, though?

Comment author: gwern 02 February 2012 09:35:27PM 10 points [-]

Sure, but I find that most of what I do is not dependent on small probability increments.

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