gwern comments on Is Sunk Cost Fallacy a Fallacy? - Less Wrong

19 Post author: gwern 04 February 2012 04:33AM

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Comment author: JoachimSchipper 04 February 2012 10:06:27AM 2 points [-]

I had serious trouble understanding the paragraph "COUNTERING HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING?" beyond "sunk costs probably counter other biases".

Also, I'd like to point out that, if sunk costs are indeed a significant problem in large organizations, they are indeed a significant problem; large organizations are (unfortunately?) rather important to modern life.

Comment author: gwern 04 February 2012 07:47:02PM 0 points [-]

What's not clear about it? That's the idea.

they are indeed a significant problem

Only if there are better equilibriums which can be moved to by attacking sunk cost - otherwise they are simply the price of doing business.

(I only found two studies bearing on it, neither of which were optimistic: the study finding sunk costs encouraged coordination and the bank study finding attacking sunk cost resulted in deception and falsification of internal metrics.)