= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Vaniver comments on Feed the spinoff heuristic! - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (85)
This reminds me of the story of the poker player who concluded it was unlucky to track his winnings and losses because whenever he did it, he lost way more than he expected to.
http://lesswrong.com/lw/20y/rationality_quotes_april_2010/1ugy
Thanks for the link! (I think I saw it first in Rational Decisions, since I hadn't upvoted that quote before.)
Seems plausible his observations were correct if he had a small sample size, if not his judgment about what to do given his observations. (I say this only because the default reaction of "what an impossibly idiotic person" might deserve a slight buffer when as casual readers we don't know many actual details of the case in question. What evidence filtered/fictional evidence and what not.)