ArisKatsaris comments on Hearsay, Double Hearsay, and Bayesian Updates - Less Wrong

47 Post author: Mass_Driver 16 February 2012 10:31PM

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Comment author: taw 15 February 2012 11:42:32PM 7 points [-]

Is there any evidence than American or any other legal system is significantly better than chance at what it does? Or even not significantly worse than chance? (by being biased instead of just random)

That's the first question we should be asking, before concerning ourselves with minor issues about admissibility of evidence.

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 15 February 2012 11:46:58PM 7 points [-]

By "better than chance" do you mean whether when investigating e.g. a murder, the American police and legal system have more than P(1/population of America) of locating and punishing the actual guilty party?