Ezekiel comments on Hearsay, Double Hearsay, and Bayesian Updates - Less Wrong

47 Post author: Mass_Driver 16 February 2012 10:31PM

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Comment author: Ezekiel 16 February 2012 01:31:59AM 5 points [-]

I like the idea of capping the length of an admissible chain of hearsay, but whenever I hear about a rule like that, I always think of the risk that you'll miss an obviously true conclusion just because the evidence wasn't admissible. Of course, that's a silly argument, since we have lots of such limits and they're not something I disagree with.

The obvious solution to this entire debate is to teach people a basic understanding of practical probability, but I guess you work with what you've got...

Incidentally, is the title a deliberate play on "Lies, damn lies, and statistics"? I couldn't work it out.

Comment author: AShepard 17 February 2012 12:22:08AM 1 point [-]

I think it's just the standard "a thing, another thing, and yet one more additional thing". A common species, of which "lies damned lies, and statistics" is another example.

Comment author: orthonormal 19 February 2012 04:50:06PM 3 points [-]

But it's a more specific pattern than that: "X, adjective X, and Scientific Term".