thomblake comments on Hearsay, Double Hearsay, and Bayesian Updates - Less Wrong

47 Post author: Mass_Driver 16 February 2012 10:31PM

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Comment author: JoachimSchipper 16 February 2012 01:59:04PM 6 points [-]

[T]here are probably so many guilty suspects (...) that the legal system does strictly worse than (...) just assuming that everyone is guilty.

Careful, there: the economic damage of not locking up a thief is much lower than the economic damage of incorrectly locking up a non-thief. "It's better that X guilty people go free than that one innocent person goes to prison" is a good principle.

(Note that X is likely to have different values for weed users, thieves and serial killers.)

Comment author: thomblake 16 February 2012 04:18:43PM 4 points [-]

Worse epistemically, not instrumentally.