thomblake comments on Hearsay, Double Hearsay, and Bayesian Updates - Less Wrong
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Careful, there: the economic damage of not locking up a thief is much lower than the economic damage of incorrectly locking up a non-thief. "It's better that X guilty people go free than that one innocent person goes to prison" is a good principle.
(Note that X is likely to have different values for weed users, thieves and serial killers.)
Worse epistemically, not instrumentally.