taw comments on Quantified Health Prize results announced - Less Wrong
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Comments (63)
By transmission mechanism I mean something more general. X has a non-negligible effect on Y, Y on Z etc.
An example of implausible transmission mechanism:
An example of plausible transmission mechanism:
With sufficiently overwhelming evidence it might be reasonable to ignore lack of any plausible transmission mechanism, but evidence is anything but, and I'm more inclined to think that it went from "I need to publish X papers a year" to "finshing for statistical correlations involving lithium" to "publishing a paper about that".