Dr_Manhattan comments on Quantified Health Prize results announced - Less Wrong
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Comments (63)
Making sense of knowledge in a bad state though is precisely the sort of thing that should test rationality skills of the sort we try to cultivate here.
I think rationality makes a big difference when an area is confused, not when it's a complex area with little data (like weather prediction without lots of sensors and supercomputers). My impression from the discussion is that supplementation is closer to the later, and not much is achieved by pure paper research.