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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Quantified Health Prize results announced - Less Wrong
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A lot of people were very put off by the state of knowledge in this area; it turned out we'd chosen an area where it's very difficult to do good work. Kevin's entry illustrates this more than anything - he started out thinking he knew things about how to supplement, and then decided he knew far less than he thought.
This confirms a prediction that I'm pretty sure I went around saying in advance (the state of knowledge in nutrition is fucked up beyond most easy epistemic wins).
Wow I'd call that confirmation bias. We got some significant solidification of existing info, a bit of new info, and spent $7500. Multiply these results by 1000 and what do you get? I'd guess, a fairly thorough knowledge-base.