simplicio comments on Maybe Theism Is OK - Less Wrong
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Comments (33)
Funny. I came to LessWrong as a firm atheist, then realized that atheism was an answer to a question nobody ever had any rational right to ask.
In other words, "science doesn't know how X happened, therefore god did it." This is the classic argument from ignorance. Much better to say "I don't know why matter predominates." That is a perfectly legitimate answer, even in the unlikely event that NO scientific explanation is ever forthcoming.
There are a few things that are confused here. First of all, if this explanation is the only one you can think of, that does not mean you should believe in it.
If I watch a magic trick and I can't figure out how it was done, the only 'explanation' I can think of is magic. That does not mean it is rational to believe it was magic until I think of a better explanation. I just admit my confusion and keep thinking. :)
Actually, what "highest probability of being correct" MEANS is precisely that you should expect this theory to be true.