Heh, sorry, kind of skipped the preamble there.

Yes, the post was in agreement with you, and attempting to visualize / illustrate / imagine a potential way the model could be shown to be flawed.

As for feeling "anti-bayesian", the idea that a set amount of responsibility exists to be distributed over actors for any event seems completely uncorrelated with reality and independent of any evidence. It feels just like an arbitrary system of categorization, like using "golborf" as a new term for "LessWrong users that own a house, don't ... (read more)