Luke, I'm confused by your occasional links to academic papers. There are a lot of papers out there related to topics we discuss. (I once collected and skimmed or read every paper I could find on the Sleep Beauty and Absent-Minded Driver problems, and there were something like 50 at that time.) How are you deciding which papers to link to? (Also, I'm surprised you have the time to look at papers like these, now that you're the Executive Director and no longer a researcher.)
Posting this link here instead of making a separate discussion post about it.
Bradley, Four Problems about Self-Locating Belief (2012):
...In this article I defend the Doomsday Argument, the Halfer Position in Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-Tuning Argument, and the applicability of Bayesian confirmation theory to the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. I will argue that all four problems have the same structure, and I give a unified treatment that uses simple models of the cases and no controversial assumptions about confirmation or self-locating evidence
From Wolfgang Schwarz's Belief Dynamics Across Fission:
Also see: Sleeping Beauty problem.