lukeprog comments on Self-locating beliefs across identity fission - Less Wrong

1 Post author: lukeprog 03 March 2012 03:14AM

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Comment author: lukeprog 08 April 2012 04:56:09AM 0 points [-]

Posting this link here instead of making a separate discussion post about it.

Bradley, Four Problems about Self-Locating Belief (2012):

In this article I defend the Doomsday Argument, the Halfer Position in Sleeping Beauty, the Fine-Tuning Argument, and the applicability of Bayesian confirmation theory to the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. I will argue that all four problems have the same structure, and I give a unified treatment that uses simple models of the cases and no controversial assumptions about confirmation or self-locating evidence. I will argue that the troublesome feature of all these cases is not self-location but selection effects.