Eugine_Nier comments on How to Fix Science - Less Wrong

50 Post author: lukeprog 07 March 2012 02:51AM

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Comment author: Eugine_Nier 06 March 2012 02:25:38AM *  3 points [-]

Any example where there are more than two potential hypotheses.

Note, that for example, "this coin is unbiased", "this coin is biased toward heads with p=.61", and "this coin is biased toward heads with p=.62" count as three different hypotheses for this purpose.

Comment author: Cyan 10 March 2012 03:33:05AM 2 points [-]

This is fair as a criticism of log-odds, but in the example you give, one could avoid the issue of people having varying priors by just reporting the value of the likelihood function. However, this likelihood function reporting idea fails to be a practical summary in the context of massive models with lots of nuisance parameters.