satt comments on How to Fix Science - Less Wrong

50 Post author: lukeprog 07 March 2012 02:51AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (141)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: satt 10 March 2012 01:08:46AM 0 points [-]

In contrast, a few simple desiderata for "logical reasoning under uncertainty" establish probability theory as the only consistent way to do so that satisfy those criteria. Sure, other criteria may suggest some other way of doing so, but no one has put forward any such reasonable way.

Could Dempster-Shafer theory count? I haven't seen anyone do a Cox-style derivation of it, but I would guess there's something analogous in Shafer's original book.

Comment author: wnoise 11 March 2012 06:19:07AM 0 points [-]

I would be quite interested in seeing such. Unfortunately I don't have any time to look for such in the foreseeable future.