JoshuaZ comments on 60m Asteroid currently assigned a .022% chance of hitting Earth. - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Locke 04 March 2012 07:19AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (36)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 04 March 2012 05:56:42PM 6 points [-]

There's a serious danger of tidal waves from that size impact (assuming it actually impacted and didn't do an airburst like Tunguska). So even if it hit an ocean it could be a bad day.

Comment author: ShardPhoenix 05 March 2012 12:13:05AM *  10 points [-]

According to Wikipedia, the Japanese tsunami was caused by an Earthquake who's "surface energy" (which I imagine is what's relevant for tsunamis) was about 2 orders of magnitude more than the expected 2 megaton impact of this asteroid, so it probably wouldn't lead to a huge tsunami.

Comment author: bramflakes 05 March 2012 07:02:43PM 2 points [-]

Additionally there'd be a much more obvious and earlier warning than for a "conventional" tsunami, allowing more people to reach safety in time.