DuncanS comments on 60m Asteroid currently assigned a .022% chance of hitting Earth. - Less Wrong

13 Post author: Locke 04 March 2012 07:19AM

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Comment author: DuncanS 06 March 2012 08:34:34PM 2 points [-]

I'd also like to see it hit. Most of the Earth is still pretty much empty, so even if it hits the Earth, it will probably end up somewhere where a 2 Megaton burst is relatively unimportant. We can predict where it will hit a long time in advance, so nobody need get hurt. It would be good science, and a media event. For many countries with lots of land it could even be a good foreign exchange earner. And it will encourage governments to stump up the necessary money to map the other asteroids.

Pity it will almost certainly miss. 0.022% isn't much.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 07 March 2012 03:13:06AM 1 point [-]

IIRC, the main damage from asteroid impacts is the tidal wave resulting from a probable drop in the ocean, which would cause deaths within an order or two of the Indonesian tsunami in '04.