Tasky comments on I Was Not Almost Wrong But I Was Almost Right: Close-Call Counterfactuals and Bias - Less Wrong
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You used the terms "high-need-for-closure" and "low-need-for-closure" quite a lot in you essay. Would you mind explaining what they mean and/or linking to somewhere I can look up the definition, since I am not familiar with them?
Could you maybe also explain what those tests are and how they work (the ones to measure need for closure)?
I quoted this excerpt from Tetlock (1998) in the post, did you not find it helpful?
The papers I referenced (see the end of the post for links) briefly discuss how this was measured. For instance, Tetlock 1998:
Incidentally, Tetlock 1998 also used another measure that's theoretically different from need-for-closure, namely integrative complexity.
Tetlock 1998 found the results between the two measures of need-for-closure and integrative complexity to be highly similar, in that individuals with a high need-for-closure scored low on integrative complexity, and vice versa. He combined the results of the two measures to a single variable in analyzing the results of that study. IIRC, in later studies only need-for-closure was used.