So how would you phrase that in words that someone who says "God works in mysterious ways" would even take in? If they understood hypotheses and distributions they wouldn't be saying things like that. edit: Well, I hope they wouldn't.
I'm bad at writing/explaining, but here's my attempt:
...Suppose you and a friend are looking at a painting of unknown origin that looks like a bunch of paint was thrown haphazardly at a piece of paper.
"Look," says your friend, "See how most of the red paint is concentrated in that one corner? This was clearly made by the famous artist Pablo Pretentious!"
"But," you protest, "Most of the canvas isn't even painted. There are blotches of white paint all over that look like they just dripped off a brush, and there's splotches
These are written from the angle that Christians deconverting is bad.
Cognitive reasons
Breaking up because a relationship with God becomes unworkable
Leaving because other Christians aren't empathetic about doubt
At what age do people leave?
It looks as though there may be more articles in the series.