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FiftyTwo comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 10 - Less Wrong
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Yes, it is.
Either that or Eliezer anticipated this train of thought (not unlikely) and is playing at the second level (slightly unlikely). Multiplying that out, the probability is miniscule.
Eleizer is always playing at one level higher than you...
Even after you've accounted for the fact that Eliezer is always playing at one level higher than you.
Reminds me of this.
In this case, yes.