HonoreDB comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 10 - Less Wrong
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More specifically Harry told himself to stop messing with time, Harry being part of the system.
Sure, if there isn't something that is more likely to happen given the state of the universe before the loop.
That scary thing being Harry telling himself not to mess with time. What we infer from this depends on what we know about Harry and what sort of things are most likely to make him respond in this way.
Watchdogs are a possibility. This evidence should increase the probability to this sort of thing being the case. But not by much.