LucasSloan comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 10 - Less Wrong
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Rot13 so people don't anchor.
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I'll be astounded if he manages to win outright. So the question is what he'll have to give up for his best friend's sake.
Very good point. Most of the evidence suggesting that Harry will lose Hermione is also evidence in favor of him losing something else with equal (or given the title of the sequence, greater) value.