Anubhav comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 10 - Less Wrong
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Doesn't look like there was an outbreak in Fuyuki. Besides, it's made clear that Quirrell never actually visited the place.
Which means that either (a) Kayneth Archibald el-Melloi will be replaced by Lucius Malfoy or (b) the dates need to be moved around.
Why is that clear? It's a powerfully magical place which might draw someone like Quirrel, and Quirrel's mistake was about whether he had a visa - so he could have gone but not known whether his later cover identity was officially registered or not.
If Grail Wars do occur in this continuity, I'd be very surprised if Riddle didn't visit their site when he was wandering the world looking for knowledge and power.
But I doubt that the reference is anything more than yet another shout-out.