HungryTurtle comments on Rationally Irrational - Less Wrong

-11 Post author: HungryTurtle 07 March 2012 07:21PM

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Comment author: HungryTurtle 06 April 2012 03:17:52PM 1 point [-]

The accurate map leads to more winning.

What evidence is there that the map is static? We make maps and the world transforms. Rivers become canyons; mountains become mole hills (pardon the rhetorical ring I could not resist). Given that all maps are approximations isn't it rational to moderate one's navigation with the occasional off course exploration to verify that not drastic changes have occurred in the geography?

And because I feel the analogy is pretty far removed at this point, what I mean by that, is that if we have charted a goal-orientation based on our map that puts us on a specific trajectory, would it not be beneficial to occasional abandon our goal-orientation to explore other trajectories for potentially new and more lucrative paths.

Comment author: [deleted] 06 April 2012 06:57:48PM 1 point [-]

The evidence that the territory is static is called Physics. The laws does not change, and the elegant counterargument against anti-inductionism is that if induction didn't work our brains would stop working, because our brains depend on static laws.

There is no evidence whatsoever that the map is static. It should never be, you should always be prepared to update, there isn't a universal prior that lets you reason inductively about any universe.

Comment author: Vaniver 06 April 2012 03:37:18PM 0 points [-]

would it not be beneficial to occasional abandon our goal-orientation to explore other trajectories for potentially new and more lucrative paths.

Why would that not be part of the trajectory traced out by your goal-orientation, or a natural interaction between the fuzziness of your map and your goals?

Comment author: HungryTurtle 06 April 2012 06:26:58PM 0 points [-]

Well you would try to have that as part of your trajectory, but what I am suggesting is that there will always be things beyond your planning, beyond your reasoning, so in light of this perhaps we should strategically deviate from those plans every now and then to double check what else is out there.

Comment author: Vaniver 06 April 2012 06:43:52PM 0 points [-]

I'm still confused by what you're considering inside my reasoning and outside my planning / reasoning. If I say "spend 90% of your time in the area with the highest known EV and 10% of your time measuring areas which have at least a 1% chance of having higher reward than the current highest EV, if they exist," then isn't my ignorance about the world part of my plan / reasoning, such that I don't need to deviate from those plans to double check?