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perturbation comments on DAGGRE group forecasting workshop - Less Wrong
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The group looks very interesting (some sort of prediction market/think tank it would seem after a quick look on their website), but the name itself just screams "Official James Bond Villain Front Organization". I would not be very surprised if they were involved with some sort of grandiose scheme to have chillingly good actuarial tables- which they kept accurate through direct intervention!
"So you see, Mr. Bond, our predictions come true- because we make them true!"
"So then, civil war in Yugoslavistan..."
"...will begin in precisely 35 hours and 20 minutes, yes, Mr. Bond."
"You'll never get away with this!"
(amused) "Oh? But I have predicted that we shall..."
They're one of the teams competing in the IARPA tournament that was mentioned here previously.