orthonormal comments on Decision Theories: A Less Wrong Primer - Less Wrong

69 Post author: orthonormal 13 March 2012 11:31PM

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Comment author: Gabriel 12 March 2012 03:03:19PM *  7 points [-]

I think the idea is that even if Omega always predicted two-boxing, it still could be said to predict with 90% accuracy if 10% of the human population happened to be one-boxers. And yet you should two-box in that case. So basically, the non-deterministic version of Newcomb's problem isn't specified clearly enough.

Comment author: orthonormal 12 March 2012 04:22:00PM 0 points [-]

Good point. I don't think this is worth going into within this post, but I introduced a weasel word to signify that the circumstances of a 90% Predictor do matter.