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wedrifid comments on Decision Theories: A Less Wrong Primer - Less Wrong
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No, I mean I think CDT can one-box within the regular Newcomb's problem situation, if its reasoning capabilities are sufficiently strong. In detail: here and in the thread here.
No, if you have an agent that is one boxing either it is not a CDT agent or the game it is playing is not Newcomb's problem. More specifically, in your first link you describe a game that is not Newcomb's problem and in the second link you describe an agent that does not implement CDT.
It would be a little more helpful, although probably not quite as cool-sounding, if you explained in what way the game is not Newcomb's in the first link, and the agent not a CDT in the second. AFAIK, the two links describe exactly the same problem and exactly the same agent, and I wrote both comments.
That doesn't seem to make helping you appealing.
The agent believes that it is has 50% chance of being in an actual Newcomb's problem and 50% chance of being in a simulation which will be used to present another agent with a Newcomb's problem some time in the future.
Orthonormal already explained this in the context.
Yes, I have this problem, working on it. I'm sorry, and thanks for your patience!
Yes, except for s/another agent/itself/. In what way this is not a correct description of a pure Newcomb's problem from the agent's point of view? This is my original still unanswered question.
Note: in the usual formulations of Newcomb's problem for UDT, the agent knows exactly that - it is called twice, and when it is running it does not know which of the two calls is being evaluated.
I answered his explanation in the context, and he appeared to agree. His other objection seems to be based on a mistaken understanding.
This is worth writing into its own post- a CDT agent with a non-self-centered utility function (like a paperclip maximizer) and a certain model of anthropics (in which, if it knows it's being simulated, it views itself as possibly within the simulation), when faced with a Predictor that predicts by simulating (which is not always the case), one-boxes on Newcomb's Problem.
This is a novel and surprising result in the academic literature on CDT, not the prediction they expected. But it seems to me that if you violate any of the conditions above, one-boxing collapses back into two-boxing; and furthermore, it won't cooperate in the Prisoner's Dilemma against a CDT agent with an orthogonal utility function. That, at least, is inescapable from the independence assumption.