Nornagest comments on Decision Theories: A Less Wrong Primer - Less Wrong
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Comments (172)
Presented with this scenario, I'd come up with a scheme describing a table of as many different options as I could manage -- ideally a very large number, but the combinatorics would probably get unwieldy after a while -- and pull numbers from http://www.fourmilab.ch/hotbits/ to make a selection. I might still lose, but knowing (to some small p-value) that it's possible to predict radioactive decay would easily be worth $100.
Of course, that's the smartassed answer.
Well the smartarse response is that Omega's just plugged himself in on the other end of your hotbits request =p