Peter_de_Blanc comments on Biased Pandemic - Less Wrong

56 Post author: freyley 13 March 2012 11:32PM

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Comment author: Peter_de_Blanc 13 March 2012 07:40:36PM 0 points [-]

Another player with Hyperbolic Discounting went further: he treated cities, any city near him, while carrying 5 red city cards in his hand and pointing out, in response to entreaties to cure red, that red wasn't much of an issue right now.

How does this demonstrate hyperbolic discounting?

Comment author: bentarm 14 March 2012 12:59:13AM *  4 points [-]

I don't know if you've played the game. There are 4 disease, red, blue, yellow and black. "Curing red" doesn't automatically eliminate the disease - it just makes it easier to deal with, and possible to eliminate in the future (and also is part of the win condition).

Treating people who have a disease right now helps them right now. Curing red has only future benefits.

I now realise you might be asking "how does this demonstrate hyperbolic, as opposed to exponential, discounting", which might be a valid point, but hyperbolic discounting does lead to discounting the future too heavily, so the player's choices do sort of make sense.

Comment author: Peter_de_Blanc 14 March 2012 09:19:21AM *  0 points [-]

I now realise you might be asking "how does this demonstrate hyperbolic, as opposed to exponential, discounting", which might be a valid point, but hyperbolic discounting does lead to discounting the future too heavily, so the player's choices do sort of make sense.

That is what I was wondering. Actually, exponential discounting values the (sufficiently distant) future less than hyperbolic discounting. Whether this is too heavy depends on the your parameter (unless you think that any discounting is bad).

Comment author: Rhwawn 13 March 2012 09:43:52PM 0 points [-]

Discounting with distance, I assume. Nearby people are extremely important, while it takes 100 African cities to get his attention, etc.