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cousin_it comments on Decision Theories: A Semi-Formal Analysis, Part I - Less Wrong
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Right. That's why I acknowledge that this is speculative.
If it turns out there's really no need to worry about spurious counterfactuals for a reasonable inference module, then hooray! But mathematical logic is perverse enough that I expect there's room for malice if you leave the front door unlocked.
I just wrote up the proof Nesov is talking about, here.