Vladimir_Nesov comments on Scenario analysis: semi-general AIs - Less Wrong

1 Post author: Will_Newsome 22 March 2012 09:11AM

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Comment author: Will_Newsome 22 March 2012 05:43:55PM 1 point [-]

Other peoples' beliefs are evidence. Many people believe in God. No one believes that disc golf causes eternal torture. The two hypotheses should not be assigned equal probability.

that's only because of how many people have believed in religion in the past

So you do not believe that others' beliefs are evidence?

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 22 March 2012 08:27:19PM *  2 points [-]

So you do not believe that others' beliefs are evidence?

A belief can be evidence for its stipulated meaning (this holds often), but could also be counterevidence, or irrelevant. What is a belief evidence for? Not at all automatically its stipulated meaning.

Comment author: Will_Newsome 22 March 2012 08:38:12PM 1 point [-]

Yes, that's the response I was fishing for, so I could spring my trap. But the bait wasn't meant for you, so now I have to make pointless commentary. Alas.

Comment author: kodos96 18 December 2012 09:35:59PM 0 points [-]

Would it be possible for you to go ahead and spring your trap anyway? I'm very curious what you had in mind.

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