Eugine_Nier comments on Rationality Quotes April 2012 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Oscar_Cunningham 03 April 2012 12:42AM

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Comment author: Eugine_Nier 17 April 2012 05:19:36AM 2 points [-]

In this case, you have no information which suggests that 39700 is either above or below the median, and therefore these two cases must be assigned equal probability

Not quite, you have some background information about the range of scores video games usually employ.

Comment author: RobinZ 17 April 2012 05:54:10AM 1 point [-]

And, I suppose, information about the probability of people mentioning average scores. I concede that either factor could justify arguing that the score should decrease.