linkhyrule5 comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 - Less Wrong

7 Post author: FAWS 04 April 2012 02:53AM

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Comment author: linkhyrule5 04 April 2012 04:24:57AM 5 points [-]

... So.

Prediction, since I can't be bothered to put it on predictionbook: Harry will apologize by sending Dumbles a list of people versus Galleons - an implicit admission of a mistake.

Comment author: FAWS 04 April 2012 02:19:14PM *  10 points [-]

If he apologizes he'll probably either do it in person or in a similar way to last time, when he apologized for being unfair after Fawkes started shouting via Flitwick.

One major problem with such a list is that he currently doesn't know how difficult it would be to earn more money.

Comment author: linkhyrule5 04 April 2012 04:25:19AM 5 points [-]

Derp. Probability 10%, because it seems a little OOC.

Comment author: [deleted] 04 April 2012 04:29:03AM *  2 points [-]

What's the total probability that Harry will apologize, then?

Comment author: NihilCredo 04 April 2012 01:36:24PM 6 points [-]

I'm going to dismiss this hypothesis because I don't think Eliezer would be happy to have HPMoR's discussion threads taken over by the inevitable "How many Galleons is Person X worth?" disputes.

Comment author: Benquo 04 April 2012 03:59:47PM 2 points [-]

This is related, and is a good way to become smarter about taboo tradeoffs too:

Making Big Decisions about Money

Comment author: TraderJoe 04 April 2012 09:57:15AM *  1 point [-]

[comment deleted]

Comment author: Alsadius 05 April 2012 05:30:51AM 3 points [-]

Dumbledore is the strongest piece the Light has, bar Potter himself(and he's higher only due to prophecy). Emptying the vaults for Albus would probably be a good trade.