David_Gerard comments on A belief propagation graph - Less Wrong

8 Post author: Dmytry 10 May 2012 04:23AM

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Comment author: Wei_Dai 10 April 2012 06:13:37PM 0 points [-]

Good point, I should at least explain why I don't think the particular biases Dmytry listed apply to me (or at least probably applies to a much lesser extent than his "intended audience").

  • Innate fears - Explained here why I'm not too afraid about AI risks.
  • Political orientation - Used to be libertarian, now not very political. Don't see how either would bias me on AI risks.
  • Religion - Never had one since my parents are atheists.
  • Deeply repressed religious beliefs - See above.
  • Xenophobia - I don't detect much xenophobia in myself when I think about AIs. (Is there a better test for this?)
  • Fiction - Not disclaiming this one
  • Wishful thinking - This would only bias me against thinking AI risks are high, no?
  • Sunk cost fallacy - I guess I have some sunken costs here (time spent thinking about Singularity strategies) but it seems minimal and only happened after I already started worrying about UFAI.
Comment author: David_Gerard 10 April 2012 06:17:00PM *  3 points [-]

I read that box as meaning "the list of cognitive biases" and took the listing of a few as meaning "don't just go 'oh yeah, cognitive biases, I know about those so I don't need to worry about them any more', actually think about them."

Full points for having thought about them, definitely - but explicitly considering yourself immune to cognitive biases strikes me as ... asking for trouble.

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