I am not an accountant, but isn't the main job of accountants to prevent fraud? I would imagine that computing advancements would make help fraudsters as much as accountants, so we'll still need accountants.
Also, the healthcare industry is notoriously immune to progress. Most hospitals haven't even digitized their records, though they've had the technology for three decades.
I am not an accountant, but isn't the main job of accountants to prevent fraud?
Is it? I thought it was keeping books, reconciling statements and errors, preparing statistics and summaries, and complying with legal requirements.
Accountants solely as forensic investigators - that sounds like a very skilled, relatively unusual kind of definition of accountant, the sort of difficult-to-automate job that would be left after computers ate all the other jobs accountants have held since time immemorial.
But don't worry, I'm sure advances in machine learning and things like IBM Watson will eat that job too; if not in the next decade or three, then the next century or two.
Mechanical Engineering magazine (paywalled until next month) and Financial Times, among others, recently reviewed the book Race Against the Machine by economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee. The FT reviewer writes:
And ME magazine quotes McAfee in an interview:
Both reviewers also hint that McAfee and Brynjolfsson offer a partial explanation of the "jobless recovery", but either the book's argument is weak or the reviewers do a poor job summarizing it. Such a purported explanation might be the main attraction for most readers, but I'm more interested in the longer-term picture. Be it the "nightmarish vision" of the future mentioned in FT, or the simpler point about wages offered by McAfee, this might be a good hook to get the general public thinking about the long-term consequences of AI.
Is that a good idea? Should sleeping general publics be left to lie? There seems to be significant reluctance among many LessWrongers to stir the public, but have we ever hashed out the reasons for and against? Please describe any non-obvious reasons on either side.