All good things to keep in mind, except for the last, which is not :P (computer programs simply do what they do - sometimes this is important to remember).
computer programs simply do what they do
And I believe that there is a small chance that the first AGI will respect human values. In other words, friendliness might turn out to be much easier than thought and be implied by some AGI designs even if it is not explicitly defined.
This might for example be the case if the first AGI is the outcome of some sort of evolutionary process in which it competed with a vast number of other AGI designs and thereby evolve some sort of altruism, which in turn caused it to have some limited amount of compassion for humans and provide us with a share of the universe.
I am just saying that this isn't logically impossible.
There are at least three objections to the risk of an unfriendly AI. One is that uFAI will be stupid - it is not possible to build a machine that is much smarter than humanity. Another is that AI would be powerful but uFAI is unlikely - the chances of someone building something that turn out malign, either deliberately or accidentally, is small. Another one that I haven't seen articulated, is the AI could be malign and potentially powerful, but effectively impotent due to its situation.
To use a chess analogy: I'm virtually certain that Deep Blue will beat me at a game of chess. I'm also pretty sure that a better chess program with vastly more computer power would beat Deep Blue. But, I'm also (almost) certain that I would beat them both at a rook and king vs king endgame.
If we try to separate out the axes of intelligence and starting position, where does your intuition tell you the danger area is ? To illustrate, what is the probability that humanity is screwed in each of the following ?
1) A lone human paperclip cultist resolves to convert the universe (but doesn't use AI).
2) One quarter of the world has converted to paperclip cultism and war ensues. No-one has AI.
3) A lone paperclip cultist sets the goal of a seed AI and uploads it to a botnet.
4) As for 2) but the cultists have a superintelligent AI to advise them.