Vladimir_Nesov comments on The True Epistemic Prisoner's Dilemma - Less Wrong
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Maybe it's not enough, maybe you need to do more than just doing the right thing. But it you actually plan to defect, you have no hope of convincing the other player that you won't. (See the revised last paragraph of the above comment.)
Why? My opponent is not a mind-reader.
Yes, if we can both pre-commit in a binding way, that's great. But what if we can't?
I feel that this is related to the intuitions on free will. When a stone is thrown your way, you can't change what you'll do, you'll either duck, or you won't. If you duck, it means that you are a stone-avoider, a system that has a property of avoiding stones, that processes data indicating the fact that a stone is flying your way, and transforms it into the actions of impact-avoiding.
The precommitment is only useful because [you+precommitment] is a system with a known characteristic of co-operator, that performs cooperation in return to the other co-operators. What you need in order to arrange mutual cooperation is to signal the other player that you are a co-operator, and to make sure that the other player is also a co-operator. Signaling the fact that you are a co-operator is easy if you attach a precommitment crutch to your natural decision-making algorithm.
Since co-operators win more than mutual defectors, being a co-operator is rational, and so it's often just said that if you and your opponent are rational, you'll cooperate.
There is a stigma of being just human, but I guess some kind of co-operator certification or a global meta-commitment of reflective consistency could be arranged to both signal that you are now a co-operator and enforce actually making co-operative decisions.
He is no fool either.
I don't understand.
You need to make it clear how my intention to defect or my intention to cooperate influences the other guy's actions, even if what I say to him is identical in both cases. Assume I'm a good liar.