prase comments on The True Epistemic Prisoner's Dilemma - Less Wrong
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Actually, since this is an unusual setup, I think it's worth spelling out:
To the atheist, Omega gives two choices, and forces him to choose between D and C:
D. Omega saves 1 billion people if the Earth is old.
C. Omega saves 2 billion people if the Earth is young.
To the creationist, Omega gives two choices, and forces him to choose between D and C:
D. Omega saves an extra 1 billion people if the Earth is young.
C. Omega saves an extra 2 billion people if the Earth is old.
No, I certainly wouldn't. I would however lie to the creationist and suggest that we both cooperate. I'd then defect, which, regardless of what he does, is still the best move. If I choose C then my action saves no lives at all, since the Earth isn't young.
My position on one-shot PDs remains that cooperation is only worthwhile in odd situations where the players' actions are linked somehow, such that my cooperating makes it more likely that he will cooperate; e.g. if we're artificial agents running the same algorithm.
Agreed. In this situation, you can be very sure that the creationist runs very different algorithm. Otherwise, he wouldn't be a creationist.