NNOTM comments on The Quick Bayes Table - Less Wrong
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Comments (31)
I know this is over a year old, but I still feel like this is worth pointing out:
You weren't using the likelihood ratio, which is one value, 8.33... in this case. You were using the numbers you use to get the likelihood ratio.
But the same likelihood ratio would also occur if you had 8% and 0.96%, and then the "negative likelihood ratio" would be about 0.93 instead of 0.22.
You simply need three numbers. Two won't suffice.