wedrifid comments on Muehlhauser-Wang Dialogue - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (284)
Far from considering the argument irrefutable it struck me as superficial and essentially fallacious reasoning. The core of the argument is the claim 'more research on all related topics is good' and failing to include the necessary ceteris paribus clause and ignoring the details of the specific instance that suggest that all else is not, if fact, equal.
Specifically, we are considering a situation where there is one area of research (capability), the completion of which will approximately guarantee that the technology created will be implemented shortly after (especially given Wang's assumption that such research should be done through empirical experimentation.) The second area of research (about how to ensure desirable behavior of an AI) is one that it is not necessary to complete in order for the first to be implemented. If both technologies need to have been developed at the time when the first is implemented in order to be safe then the second technology must be completed at the same time or earlier than when the technological capability for the first to be implemented is complete.
(And this part just translates to "I'm the cool one, not you". The usual considerations on how much weight to place on various kinds of status and reputation of an individual or group apply.)