Juno_Watt comments on Muehlhauser-Wang Dialogue - Less Wrong

24 Post author: lukeprog 22 April 2012 10:40PM

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Comment author: Jack 23 April 2012 08:55:24AM *  48 points [-]

I agree. Friendly AI may be incoherent and impossible. In fact, it looks impossible right now. But that’s often how problems look right before we make a few key insights that make things clearer, and show us (e.g.) how we were asking a wrong question in the first place. The reason I advocate Friendly AI research (among other things) is because it may be the only way to secure a desirable future for humanity, (see “Complex Value Systems are Required to Realize Valuable Futures.”) even if it looks impossible. That is why Yudkowsky once proclaimed: “Shut Up and Do the Impossible!” When we don’t know how to make progress on a difficult problem, sometimes we need to hack away at the edges.

Just a suggestion for future dialogs: The amount of Less Wrong jargon, links to Less Wrong posts explaining that jargon, and the Yudkowsky "proclamation" in this paragraph is all a bit squicky, alienating and potentially condescending. And I think they muddle the point you're making.

Anyway, biting Pei's bullet for a moment, if building an AI isn't safe, if it's, like Pei thinks, similar to educating a child (except, presumably, with a few orders of magnitude more uncertainty about the outcome) that sounds like a really bad thing to be trying to do. He writes :

I don’t think a good education theory can be “proved” in advance, pure theoretically. Rather, we’ll learn most of it by interacting with baby AGIs, just like how many of us learn how to educate children.

There's a very good chance he's right. But we're terrible at educating children. Children routinely grow up to be awful people. And this one lacks the predictable, well-defined drives and physical limits that let us predict how most humans will eventually act (pro-social, in fear of authority). It sounds deeply irresponsible, albeit, not of immediate concern. Pei's argument is a grand rebuttal of the proposal that humanity spend more time on AI safety (why fund something that isn't possible?) but no argument at all against the second part of the proposal-- defund AI capabilities research.

Comment author: Juno_Watt 23 May 2013 02:05:25PM 2 points [-]

Children routinely grow up to be awful people.

On average, they grow up to be average people. They generally don't grow up to be Genghis Khan or a James Bond villain, which is what the UFAI scenario predicts. FAI only needs to produce AIs that are as good as the average person, however bad that is in average terms.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 23 May 2013 04:05:31PM 2 points [-]

How dangerous would an arbitrarily selected average person be to the rest of us if given significantly superhuman power?

Comment author: Juno_Watt 24 May 2013 01:34:04AM *  1 point [-]

The topic is intelligence. Some people have superhuman (well, more than 99.99% of humans) intelligence, and we are generally not afraid of them. We expect them to have ascended to the higher reaches of the Kohlberg hierarchy. There doesn't seem to be a problem of Unfriendly Natural Intelligence. We don't kill off smart people on the basis that they might be a threat. We don't refuse people education on the grounds that we don't know what they will do with all that dangerous knowledge. (There may have been societies that worked that way, but they don't seem to be around any more).

Comment author: TheOtherDave 24 May 2013 03:42:21AM 0 points [-]

Agreed with all of this.