taelor comments on A Kick in the Rationals: What hurts you in your LessWrong Parts? - Less Wrong
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Another one: In the film Rear Window, the protagonist witnesses a dog sniffing around a flower bed; later, that same dog is found dead. The protagonist responds by having his girlfriend dig up the flower bed, only to find nothing. From this, he concludes that his suspicion that his neighbor is a murderer is correct, and sends his girlfirend to break into said neighbors house. Of course, by authorial fiat, he ends up being right.
Also, anything that ICP has said, ever. But this takes the cake.