TimS comments on Survey of older folks as data about one's future values and preferences? - Less Wrong

18 Post author: Bart119 27 April 2012 07:42PM

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Comment author: TimS 27 April 2012 11:32:49PM 3 points [-]

Also interesting is politics; here the confound is simply that the 19th-20th centuries have seen widespread partisan shifts in particular directions, which means age will correlate strongly with politics unless people are completely spineless.

I strongly suspect that this effect utterly swamps any other effect. Although I'm less confident of this assertion than I was before looking at the study you cited.

Even if attitudes move towards mainstream among older cohorts faster than among younger cohorts, I get the impression that the mainstream is moving faster than the attitude change. A difference between first and second derivatives of attitude? Or am I still relying on stereotype?

Comment author: gwern 28 April 2012 12:05:02AM 2 points [-]

I get the impression that the mainstream is moving faster than the attitude change. A difference between first and second derivatives of attitude?

Yes. The old people are still conservative-er, although they've moved a lot towards the younger cohorts' attitudes.