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Desrtopa comments on Rationality Quotes May 2012 - Less Wrong
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And if both contestants think they can win, this maxim gets to be right 100% of the time!
I thought it was that no matter who wins that causes him to become sure of his ability.
Well, if a person is really good at what they do, that could cause them to become confident in their ability to do it well. But if they're really bad at it, that could also cause them to be confident in their ability to do it well.