And testing confirmation bias in this fashion is intrinsically deceptive, so I probably have damaged my online reputation as well.
I have no way to back this up and just posting this tastes like hindsight bias to me. Nonetheless, this was my train-of-thought when I read this post :
Of course, as Rational!Beyonce would say "If I thought it then I should have put a prediction on it."
Of course, as Rational!Beyonce would say "If I thought it then I should have put a prediction on it."
Amazing.
Master copy lives on gwern.net