I was using "I see X" as "I predict X"--just in the context of a possible world.

To get away with this, you really need, at minimum, an explicit counterfactual clause ("if", "unless", etc.) to introduce it: "In a world where SIers are superior in general rationality, I don't see Luke having that list of accomplishments."

The problem was not so much that your usage itself was logically inconceivable, but rather that it collided with the other interpretations of "I see X" in the particular contexts in which it occurred. E.g. "I don't see them taking higher salaries" sounded like you were saying that they weren't taking higher salaries. (There was an "if" clause, but it came way too late!)